Results

Every coin we tested, losers includedAll 40 coins, losers included

One published chart could be a lucky pick, so we ran the same default settings on 40 coins chosen by market cap before any result. Price Action made money in 94 of 120 tests. Smart DCA ended above its start in 95 of 120, with no stop loss by default, a median max drawdown of 28.6% and some cycles open for over a year.Price Action: 94 of 120 tests profitable. Smart DCA: 95 of 120 positive, with no stop loss by default and some cycles open over a year.

Backtests, simulated, not live trading · Data to 27 Oct 2026

Price Action on 40 coins

Top 20 by market cap and coins 21⁠-⁠40
Binance USDT-M perpetual futures
1h, 2h, 4h
Sep 2019 (or listing) to 27 Oct 2026
default settings

See the full table

Highlight

94/120

profitable backtests

40 coins × 1h, 2h, 4h · default settings

median net +10.7%; 26 tests lost money

Highlight

48/60

profitable on the top 20 by market cap

Top 20 by market cap × 1h, 2h, 4h · median net +12.0%

48 of 60 top-20 tests made money; coins 21⁠-⁠40: 46 of 60

Highlight

60/81

profitable on the 27 coins left out of tuning

27 coins × 1h, 2h, 4h · median net +7.5%

60 of 81 tests made money; all 40 coins: 94 of 120

All4h2h1hTop 2021⁠-⁠40

SOL 2h: +94.4% net, max drawdown 8.0%, profit factor 2.75, from Sep 2020
BNB 2h: +60.1% net, max drawdown 7.9%, profit factor 1.93, from Feb 2020
XLM 1h: +57.9% net, max drawdown 16.1%, profit factor 2.02, from Jan 2020
DOT 2h: +56.6% net, max drawdown 14.4%, profit factor 1.94, from Aug 2020
BTC 4h: +55.1% net, max drawdown 5.5%, profit factor 2.46, from Sep 2019 (simulated; the published chart's coin and timeframe, whose TradingView figures differ slightly)
SOL 4h: +52.1% net, max drawdown 6.4%, profit factor 2.18, from Sep 2020
LINK 2h: +50.8% net, max drawdown 10.4%, profit factor 1.99, from Jan 2020
SOL 1h: +47.9% net, max drawdown 14.6%, profit factor 1.94, from Sep 2020
ALGO 1h: +47.8% net, max drawdown 7.3%, profit factor 2.27, from Jun 2020
LINK 1h: +43.7% net, max drawdown 8.0%, profit factor 1.77, from Jan 2020
DOT 4h: +43.2% net, max drawdown 9.7%, profit factor 2.1, from Aug 2020
XRP 1h: +43.0% net, max drawdown 5.9%, profit factor 2.34, from Jan 2020
FIL 4h: +42.4% net, max drawdown 5.6%, profit factor 2.23, from Oct 2020
BNB 1h: +42.0% net, max drawdown 12.0%, profit factor 1.96, from Feb 2020
PEPE 4h: +37.9% net, max drawdown 4.1%, profit factor 3.14, from May 2023
LTC 1h: +36.4% net, max drawdown 16.7%, profit factor 1.56, from Jan 2020
BNB 4h: +32.5% net, max drawdown 15.8%, profit factor 1.56, from Feb 2020
DOGE 4h: +32.5% net, max drawdown 7.5%, profit factor 1.99, from Jul 2020
PEPE 2h: +31.7% net, max drawdown 7.9%, profit factor 2, from May 2023
INJ 4h: +31.5% net, max drawdown 4.0%, profit factor 3.26, from Aug 2022
ATOM 1h: +31.1% net, max drawdown 9.2%, profit factor 1.76, from Feb 2020
UNI 1h: +30.8% net, max drawdown 6.0%, profit factor 1.87, from Sep 2020
FIL 1h: +29.7% net, max drawdown 7.0%, profit factor 1.77, from Oct 2020
LINK 4h: +29.4% net, max drawdown 8.5%, profit factor 1.95, from Jan 2020
SHIB 1h: +27.8% net, max drawdown 7.8%, profit factor 1.77, from May 2021
DOT 1h: +26.4% net, max drawdown 6.7%, profit factor 1.7, from Aug 2020
ADA 4h: +25.2% net, max drawdown 4.1%, profit factor 1.71, from Jan 2020
AVAX 4h: +24.2% net, max drawdown 7.5%, profit factor 2.02, from Sep 2020
FIL 2h: +23.7% net, max drawdown 11.6%, profit factor 1.65, from Oct 2020
ALGO 4h: +23.1% net, max drawdown 9.2%, profit factor 1.73, from Jun 2020
DOGE 2h: +23.0% net, max drawdown 17.6%, profit factor 1.57, from Jul 2020
ICP 1h: +22.9% net, max drawdown 6.5%, profit factor 1.77, from Sep 2022
ATOM 2h: +21.5% net, max drawdown 6.7%, profit factor 1.54, from Feb 2020
ZEC 4h: +21.4% net, max drawdown 13.4%, profit factor 1.46, from Feb 2020
XRP 2h: +20.2% net, max drawdown 11.6%, profit factor 1.43, from Jan 2020
PEPE 1h: +19.4% net, max drawdown 13.9%, profit factor 1.53, from May 2023
TAO 2h: +19.2% net, max drawdown 10.3%, profit factor 1.82, from Apr 2024
XRP 4h: +19.1% net, max drawdown 6.4%, profit factor 1.53, from Jan 2020
ETC 4h: +19.1% net, max drawdown 8.6%, profit factor 1.45, from Jan 2020
NEAR 2h: +19.0% net, max drawdown 9.1%, profit factor 1.48, from Oct 2020
ADA 2h: +18.6% net, max drawdown 11.6%, profit factor 1.4, from Jan 2020
BCH 2h: +18.4% net, max drawdown 14.2%, profit factor 1.34, from Dec 2019
AVAX 1h: +17.7% net, max drawdown 13.3%, profit factor 1.5, from Sep 2020
SHIB 4h: +17.4% net, max drawdown 4.8%, profit factor 1.74, from May 2021
WLD 2h: +17.4% net, max drawdown 5.5%, profit factor 1.98, from Jul 2023
ETH 2h: +17.1% net, max drawdown 14.4%, profit factor 1.28, from Nov 2019
TRX 4h: +17.1% net, max drawdown 9.2%, profit factor 1.32, from Jan 2020
SUI 4h: +15.3% net, max drawdown 8.4%, profit factor 1.77, from May 2023
NEAR 1h: +15.2% net, max drawdown 10.7%, profit factor 1.4, from Oct 2020
SHIB 2h: +13.6% net, max drawdown 15.8%, profit factor 1.34, from May 2021
ALGO 2h: +12.9% net, max drawdown 9.2%, profit factor 1.39, from Jun 2020
RENDER 4h: +12.8% net, max drawdown 5.6%, profit factor 1.96, from Jul 2024
ETHFI 1h: +12.3% net, max drawdown 8.5%, profit factor 1.81, from Mar 2024
ZEC 2h: +12.0% net, max drawdown 14.8%, profit factor 1.21, from Feb 2020
TRX 2h: +11.6% net, max drawdown 22.1%, profit factor 1.17, from Jan 2020
TAO 1h: +11.6% net, max drawdown 7.5%, profit factor 1.66, from Apr 2024
DOGE 1h: +11.5% net, max drawdown 19.4%, profit factor 1.35, from Jul 2020
ZRO 4h: +11.4% net, max drawdown 5.7%, profit factor 1.85, from Jun 2024
INJ 1h: +11.1% net, max drawdown 5.8%, profit factor 1.42, from Aug 2022
UNI 4h: +10.9% net, max drawdown 10.9%, profit factor 1.33, from Sep 2020
AAVE 4h: +10.7% net, max drawdown 6.1%, profit factor 1.3, from Oct 2020
BTC 1h: +10.6% net, max drawdown 5.3%, profit factor 1.4, from Sep 2019
POL 2h: +10.4% net, max drawdown 10.1%, profit factor 1.58, from Sep 2024
DASH 1h: +10.2% net, max drawdown 7.8%, profit factor 1.21, from Feb 2020
AVAX 2h: +9.9% net, max drawdown 12.1%, profit factor 1.2, from Sep 2020
ZRO 2h: +9.8% net, max drawdown 6.6%, profit factor 1.51, from Jun 2024
ETHFI 2h: +9.7% net, max drawdown 8.4%, profit factor 1.64, from Mar 2024
SUI 2h: +9.2% net, max drawdown 6.3%, profit factor 1.53, from May 2023
TRX 1h: +8.7% net, max drawdown 13.3%, profit factor 1.17, from Jan 2020
LTC 2h: +8.6% net, max drawdown 22.6%, profit factor 1.14, from Jan 2020
RENDER 2h: +8.6% net, max drawdown 4.6%, profit factor 1.33, from Jul 2024
ADA 1h: +8.1% net, max drawdown 9.2%, profit factor 1.2, from Jan 2020
CAKE 1h: +8.0% net, max drawdown 8.7%, profit factor 1.33, from Nov 2023
ETHFI 4h: +7.5% net, max drawdown 6.4%, profit factor 1.45, from Mar 2024
BCH 1h: +7.4% net, max drawdown 7.4%, profit factor 1.16, from Dec 2019
ENA 4h: +7.2% net, max drawdown 8.8%, profit factor 1.56, from Apr 2024
WLD 1h: +7.1% net, max drawdown 9.3%, profit factor 1.34, from Jul 2023
QNT 4h: +7.0% net, max drawdown 7.6%, profit factor 1.28, from Oct 2022
ENA 1h: +6.9% net, max drawdown 11.3%, profit factor 1.42, from Apr 2024
UNI 2h: +5.6% net, max drawdown 6.3%, profit factor 1.15, from Sep 2020
RENDER 1h: +5.0% net, max drawdown 6.0%, profit factor 1.27, from Jul 2024
NEAR 4h: +4.9% net, max drawdown 11.2%, profit factor 1.13, from Oct 2020
XLM 2h: +3.9% net, max drawdown 9.9%, profit factor 1.09, from Jan 2020
ICP 2h: +3.5% net, max drawdown 12.2%, profit factor 1.1, from Sep 2022
ZRO 1h: +3.5% net, max drawdown 7.0%, profit factor 1.19, from Jun 2024
POL 4h: +3.5% net, max drawdown 10.0%, profit factor 1.17, from Sep 2024
ARB 4h: +3.5% net, max drawdown 8.6%, profit factor 1.11, from Mar 2023
WLD 4h: +2.4% net, max drawdown 4.0%, profit factor 1.23, from Jul 2023
SUI 1h: +2.2% net, max drawdown 7.7%, profit factor 1.11, from May 2023
POL 1h: +1.9% net, max drawdown 7.2%, profit factor 1.12, from Sep 2024
ETC 2h: +1.7% net, max drawdown 9.9%, profit factor 1.03, from Jan 2020
AAVE 1h: +1.6% net, max drawdown 16.4%, profit factor 1.03, from Oct 2020
ICP 4h: +0.55% net, max drawdown 9.4%, profit factor 1.02, from Sep 2022
TAO 4h: +0.14% net, max drawdown 10.0%, profit factor 1.01, from Apr 2024
JUP 1h: -0.67% net, max drawdown 4.9%, profit factor 0.96, from Jan 2024
ARB 2h: -1.1% net, max drawdown 7.8%, profit factor 0.97, from Mar 2023
JUP 2h: -1.2% net, max drawdown 6.7%, profit factor 0.93, from Jan 2024
BCH 4h: -1.5% net, max drawdown 17.2%, profit factor 0.97, from Dec 2019
ZEC 1h: -1.9% net, max drawdown 14.1%, profit factor 0.96, from Feb 2020
QNT 1h: -2.0% net, max drawdown 13.8%, profit factor 0.95, from Oct 2022
ETH 4h: -2.5% net, max drawdown 18.4%, profit factor 0.96, from Nov 2019
LTC 4h: -2.8% net, max drawdown 13.1%, profit factor 0.93, from Jan 2020
ARB 1h: -3.3% net, max drawdown 8.6%, profit factor 0.89, from Mar 2023
INJ 2h: -4.3% net, max drawdown 7.6%, profit factor 0.88, from Aug 2022
ATOM 4h: -4.8% net, max drawdown 19.4%, profit factor 0.88, from Feb 2020
AAVE 2h: -5.2% net, max drawdown 16.2%, profit factor 0.9, from Oct 2020
BTC 2h: -6.9% net, max drawdown 16.9%, profit factor 0.89, from Sep 2019
ETH 1h: -7.0% net, max drawdown 27.8%, profit factor 0.87, from Nov 2019
JUP 4h: -7.3% net, max drawdown 8.0%, profit factor 0.54, from Jan 2024
HBAR 1h: -7.6% net, max drawdown 18.3%, profit factor 0.78, from Mar 2021
DASH 2h: -7.8% net, max drawdown 10.3%, profit factor 0.88, from Feb 2020
ENA 2h: -8.0% net, max drawdown 11.2%, profit factor 0.56, from Apr 2024
QNT 2h: -9.8% net, max drawdown 14.1%, profit factor 0.77, from Oct 2022
ETC 1h: -9.8% net, max drawdown 15.8%, profit factor 0.79, from Jan 2020
CAKE 2h: -10.6% net, max drawdown 17.0%, profit factor 0.67, from Nov 2023
HBAR 4h: -11.0% net, max drawdown 21.9%, profit factor 0.75, from Mar 2021
CAKE 4h: -11.8% net, max drawdown 12.5%, profit factor 0.46, from Nov 2023
XLM 4h: -15.1% net, max drawdown 24.4%, profit factor 0.61, from Jan 2020
DASH 4h: -15.6% net, max drawdown 18.6%, profit factor 0.69, from Feb 2020
HBAR 2h: -22.3% net, max drawdown 28.4%, profit factor 0.5, from Mar 2021

94 of 120 tests made money: every coin and timeframe at the default settings, net profit, best first. Grey = within 1% of flat, red = lost money.Every figure, coin by coin

The published BTC 4h chart (+56.05%) is the best 4h result of our 40 coins (simulated). The 4h median: +10.9% on all 40 coins, +15.3% on the top 20 by market cap.

Backtest, simulated, not live trading. Past results do not guarantee future results. Source: Navixa's research simulator, same settings on every coin.

How Price Action works

Smart DCA on 40 coins

Top 20 by market cap and coins 21⁠-⁠40
Binance spot
1h, 2h, 4h
Jan 2018 (or listing) to 27 Oct 2026
default settings

See the full table

Highlight

60/60

tests positive on the top 20 by market cap

Top 20 by market cap × 1h, 2h, 4h · from Jan 2018 or listing · default settings

60 of 60 ended above their start; all 40 coins: 95 of 120

Highlight

91.3%

of 2,134 top-20 cycles closed within 30 days

Top 20 by market cap · 4h · 18 cycles lasted over a year

95.6% closed within 90 days

Highlight

21.4%

median max drawdown on the top 20 by market cap

4h · worst 40.6% · the coins themselves fell 93% (median, peak to low)

20 coins; on coins 21⁠-⁠40 the median drawdown was 31.5%

All4h2h1hTop 2021⁠-⁠40

ETHFI 4h: +20.5% a year (total +63%), max drawdown 9.6%, from Mar 2024
SUI 1h: +19.1% a year (total +84%), max drawdown 24.8%, from May 2023
LINK 1h: +18.2% a year (total +266%), max drawdown 22.9%, from Jan 2019
SUI 4h: +17.4% a year (total +75%), max drawdown 8.4%, from May 2023
DOGE 1h: +16.8% a year (total +211%), max drawdown 30.6%, from Jul 2019
LINK 2h: +16.7% a year (total +231%), max drawdown 22.7%, from Jan 2019
ZEC 1h: +16.3% a year (total +216%), max drawdown 41.6%, from Mar 2019
DOGE 2h: +16.0% a year (total +196%), max drawdown 27.0%, from Jul 2019
ADA 2h: +15.4% a year (total +239%), max drawdown 28.7%, from Apr 2018
LINK 4h: +15.2% a year (total +200%), max drawdown 16.8%, from Jan 2019
ETHFI 1h: +15.2% a year (total +45%), max drawdown 24.8%, from Mar 2024
PEPE 1h: +15.1% a year (total +63%), max drawdown 20.0%, from May 2023
SUI 2h: +14.8% a year (total +62%), max drawdown 24.3%, from May 2023
ZEC 2h: +14.6% a year (total +182%), max drawdown 41.3%, from Mar 2019
ADA 1h: +14.4% a year (total +215%), max drawdown 28.6%, from Apr 2018
ETHFI 2h: +14.4% a year (total +42%), max drawdown 24.0%, from Mar 2024
HBAR 2h: +14.1% a year (total +154%), max drawdown 21.6%, from Sep 2019
DOGE 4h: +14.0% a year (total +160%), max drawdown 27.0%, from Jul 2019
ENA 1h: +13.7% a year (total +39%), max drawdown 20.6%, from Apr 2024
BNB 1h: +13.1% a year (total +195%), max drawdown 22.8%, from Jan 2018
SOL 1h: +13.1% a year (total +115%), max drawdown 21.2%, from Aug 2020
ADA 4h: +13.0% a year (total +184%), max drawdown 29.1%, from Apr 2018
HBAR 1h: +12.9% a year (total +136%), max drawdown 21.5%, from Sep 2019
XRP 1h: +12.7% a year (total +176%), max drawdown 19.6%, from May 2018
ZEC 4h: +12.7% a year (total +148%), max drawdown 40.6%, from Mar 2019
BNB 2h: +12.4% a year (total +179%), max drawdown 22.8%, from Jan 2018
NEAR 2h: +12.2% a year (total +100%), max drawdown 37.5%, from Oct 2020
HBAR 4h: +12.2% a year (total +126%), max drawdown 21.4%, from Sep 2019
ENA 4h: +12.1% a year (total +34%), max drawdown 20.3%, from Apr 2024
XRP 2h: +12.0% a year (total +161%), max drawdown 16.0%, from May 2018
BNB 4h: +11.6% a year (total +164%), max drawdown 23.6%, from Jan 2018
TRX 1h: +11.6% a year (total +150%), max drawdown 34.8%, from Jun 2018
NEAR 1h: +11.5% a year (total +93%), max drawdown 43.5%, from Oct 2020
SOL 2h: +11.3% a year (total +95%), max drawdown 18.7%, from Aug 2020
TRX 2h: +11.3% a year (total +145%), max drawdown 23.0%, from Jun 2018
ENA 2h: +11.3% a year (total +32%), max drawdown 20.4%, from Apr 2024
TRX 4h: +11.0% a year (total +139%), max drawdown 21.7%, from Jun 2018
SOL 4h: +10.9% a year (total +90%), max drawdown 18.6%, from Aug 2020
DASH 1h: +10.7% a year (total +116%), max drawdown 36.5%, from Mar 2019
DASH 4h: +10.6% a year (total +115%), max drawdown 22.1%, from Mar 2019
XRP 4h: +10.3% a year (total +129%), max drawdown 19.2%, from May 2018
ETH 1h: +10.2% a year (total +136%), max drawdown 24.6%, from Jan 2018
NEAR 4h: +10.1% a year (total +79%), max drawdown 37.6%, from Oct 2020
AVAX 1h: +10.1% a year (total +80%), max drawdown 22.4%, from Sep 2020
ETH 2h: +9.8% a year (total +128%), max drawdown 25.1%, from Jan 2018
BTC 1h: +9.7% a year (total +126%), max drawdown 17.5%, from Jan 2018
AVAX 4h: +9.6% a year (total +75%), max drawdown 21.1%, from Sep 2020
TAO 1h: +9.6% a year (total +26%), max drawdown 12.6%, from Apr 2024
BTC 2h: +9.3% a year (total +120%), max drawdown 17.1%, from Jan 2018
ETH 4h: +9.3% a year (total +119%), max drawdown 22.2%, from Jan 2018
LTC 1h: +9.3% a year (total +120%), max drawdown 35.4%, from Jan 2018
UNI 1h: +9.2% a year (total +71%), max drawdown 25.8%, from Sep 2020
BTC 4h: +9.0% a year (total +113%), max drawdown 17.2%, from Jan 2018 (simulated; the published chart's coin and timeframe, whose TradingView figures differ slightly)
AVAX 2h: +8.9% a year (total +68%), max drawdown 21.8%, from Sep 2020
XLM 2h: +8.7% a year (total +102%), max drawdown 30.9%, from May 2018
UNI 2h: +8.6% a year (total +65%), max drawdown 20.6%, from Sep 2020
BCH 1h: +8.2% a year (total +73%), max drawdown 36.0%, from Nov 2019
LTC 2h: +8.2% a year (total +100%), max drawdown 35.1%, from Jan 2018
BCH 2h: +8.0% a year (total +71%), max drawdown 36.0%, from Nov 2019
ALGO 1h: +7.9% a year (total +74%), max drawdown 33.7%, from Jun 2019
XLM 4h: +7.8% a year (total +88%), max drawdown 25.6%, from May 2018
AAVE 2h: +7.7% a year (total +57%), max drawdown 19.6%, from Oct 2020
TAO 4h: +7.6% a year (total +21%), max drawdown 12.5%, from Apr 2024
UNI 4h: +7.3% a year (total +54%), max drawdown 21.4%, from Sep 2020
LTC 4h: +7.2% a year (total +84%), max drawdown 34.5%, from Jan 2018
ALGO 4h: +7.1% a year (total +65%), max drawdown 24.3%, from Jun 2019
ETC 1h: +6.9% a year (total +74%), max drawdown 31.6%, from Jun 2018
BCH 4h: +6.8% a year (total +58%), max drawdown 35.3%, from Nov 2019
ETC 2h: +6.6% a year (total +71%), max drawdown 32.2%, from Jun 2018
CAKE 4h: +6.6% a year (total +44%), max drawdown 62.2%, from Feb 2021
QNT 1h: +6.2% a year (total +37%), max drawdown 20.9%, from Jul 2021
ETC 4h: +5.6% a year (total +58%), max drawdown 31.5%, from Jun 2018
ALGO 2h: +5.6% a year (total +49%), max drawdown 32.7%, from Jun 2019
QNT 2h: +4.9% a year (total +28%), max drawdown 21.1%, from Jul 2021
TAO 2h: +4.8% a year (total +13%), max drawdown 12.5%, from Apr 2024
AAVE 1h: +4.8% a year (total +33%), max drawdown 51.2%, from Oct 2020
XLM 1h: +4.5% a year (total +45%), max drawdown 31.0%, from May 2018
PEPE 2h: +4.1% a year (total +15%), max drawdown 32.0%, from May 2023
INJ 1h: +3.7% a year (total +24%), max drawdown 44.2%, from Oct 2020
ATOM 4h: +3.6% a year (total +31%), max drawdown 34.2%, from Apr 2019
AAVE 4h: +3.4% a year (total +22%), max drawdown 31.6%, from Oct 2020
QNT 4h: +3.2% a year (total +18%), max drawdown 18.9%, from Jul 2021
PEPE 4h: +3.1% a year (total +11%), max drawdown 32.4%, from May 2023
ICP 2h: +2.8% a year (total +16%), max drawdown 27.9%, from May 2021
ICP 1h: +2.8% a year (total +16%), max drawdown 28.1%, from May 2021
WLD 1h: +2.2% a year (total +7%), max drawdown 20.5%, from Jul 2023
INJ 2h: +2.2% a year (total +14%), max drawdown 43.4%, from Oct 2020
ATOM 2h: +2.0% a year (total +16%), max drawdown 45.8%, from Apr 2019
ATOM 1h: +1.9% a year (total +15%), max drawdown 46.0%, from Apr 2019
POL 2h: +1.8% a year (total +4%), max drawdown 8.7%, from Sep 2024
POL 4h: +1.7% a year (total +4%), max drawdown 8.8%, from Sep 2024
INJ 4h: +1.6% a year (total +10%), max drawdown 43.3%, from Oct 2020
ZRO 1h: +1.4% a year (total +3%), max drawdown 27.1%, from Jun 2024
POL 1h: +1.1% a year (total +2%), max drawdown 10.1%, from Sep 2024
ICP 4h: +0.8% a year (total +4%), max drawdown 28.0%, from May 2021
DASH 2h: -2.0% a year (total -14%), max drawdown 46.1%, from Mar 2019
DOT 1h: -2.4% a year (total -14%), max drawdown 29.6%, from Aug 2020
SHIB 2h: -2.6% a year (total -14%), max drawdown 31.6%, from May 2021
SHIB 1h: -2.6% a year (total -14%), max drawdown 31.6%, from May 2021
DOT 4h: -3.0% a year (total -17%), max drawdown 29.6%, from Aug 2020
DOT 2h: -4.1% a year (total -23%), max drawdown 37.6%, from Aug 2020
ARB 2h: -4.9% a year (total -17%), max drawdown 42.9%, from Mar 2023
SHIB 4h: -5.2% a year (total -25%), max drawdown 38.9%, from May 2021
ARB 1h: -5.3% a year (total -18%), max drawdown 43.4%, from Mar 2023
JUP 4h: -5.5% a year (total -14%), max drawdown 29.6%, from Jan 2024
JUP 1h: -5.5% a year (total -14%), max drawdown 29.9%, from Jan 2024
JUP 2h: -5.9% a year (total -15%), max drawdown 30.1%, from Jan 2024
ARB 4h: -6.2% a year (total -21%), max drawdown 42.8%, from Mar 2023
CAKE 2h: -8.2% a year (total -39%), max drawdown 50.7%, from Feb 2021
CAKE 1h: -8.2% a year (total -39%), max drawdown 50.7%, from Feb 2021
RENDER 4h: -8.4% a year (total -18%), max drawdown 30.9%, from Jul 2024
RENDER 2h: -8.4% a year (total -18%), max drawdown 31.2%, from Jul 2024
RENDER 1h: -8.5% a year (total -18%), max drawdown 31.3%, from Jul 2024
WLD 2h: -9.2% a year (total -27%), max drawdown 42.8%, from Jul 2023
ZRO 4h: -9.3% a year (total -21%), max drawdown 36.5%, from Jun 2024
ZRO 2h: -9.4% a year (total -21%), max drawdown 36.5%, from Jun 2024
WLD 4h: -9.6% a year (total -28%), max drawdown 42.9%, from Jul 2023
FIL 2h: -19.5% a year (total -73%), max drawdown 75.7%, from Oct 2020
FIL 4h: -19.6% a year (total -73%), max drawdown 75.6%, from Oct 2020
FIL 1h: -20.1% a year (total -74%), max drawdown 76.4%, from Oct 2020

95 of 120 tests ended above their start: every coin and timeframe at the default settings, yearly return, best first. Grey = within 1% a year of flat, red = lost money.Every figure, coin by coin

No stop loss by default. In our multi-coin backtests (simulated, 4h), four of the top 20 by market cap still hold a cycle opened more than a year ago: BTC, ETH, BNB and SOL. Across all 40 coins on 4h, 17 of 40 do.

The risk next to those figures (the top 20 by market cap, 4h): median worst open loss -21.5%, median time in market 84%, and the longest closed cycle 1,284 days (XLM, May 2021 to Nov 2024).

Backtest, simulated, not live trading. Past results do not guarantee future results. Source: Navixa's research simulator, same settings on every coin.

How Smart DCA works

How to read these numbers

A highlight is a pick, so it says what it counts. Each one carries a "Highlight" label and its n of N, and the table it was picked from is one click away.Each is labelled "Highlight" with its n of N, and its table is one click away.
The coins were picked by a rule, before any result. The test runs on the first 40 coins by CoinGecko market cap on 28 Oct 2026 that are not stablecoins, wrapped tokens or real-world assets, and that trade on Binance both as spot (against USDT) and as a USDT-margined perpetual, each listed before 28 Oct 2024. Ranks 1 to 20 are the top 20; the rest are coins 21-40.The first 40 eligible coins by CoinGecko market cap on 28 Oct 2026; the full rule is in the methodology.
Same settings on every coin. The published defaults, with no coin tuned on its own. Optional settings are described, never given figures of their own.The published defaults, no coin tuned on its own. Options are described, never given figures.
Costs are in. Commission and slippage are included in every test. Funding fees on futures are not.Commission and slippage are in every test; funding fees on futures are not.
Simulated, not live. These are backtests on past prices, not a trading record. Past results do not guarantee future results.

How the backtests were run

Two sources, labelled

ExactThe TradingView chart. One coin per strategy, every figure in its report, on the strategy pages: Price Action and Smart DCA.

Multi-coinThe research simulator. It reproduces that chart and runs the same settings on every coin. The tables, tiles and charts on the results pages come from it.

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Full reports published
Every coin we tested, losers included
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