Price Action backtests on 40 crypto coinsPrice Action on 40 coins

The published defaults on 40 coins (the top 20 by market cap and coins 21⁠-⁠40), Binance USDT-M perpetual futures, on 1h, 2h and 4h, from each coin's listing to 27 Oct 2026. 94 of 120 tests made money; all 120 are in the table, the losing ones included.Defaults on 40 coins, Binance USDT-M futures, 1h, 2h and 4h. 94 of 120 backtests made money; all 120 are in the table.

  • Source: Navixa's research simulator
  • 0.05% commission per side and slippage included
  • Funding fees not included
  • Coins fixed by market cap on 28 Oct 2026

The published BTC 4h chart (+56.05%) is the best 4h result of our 40 coins (simulated). The 4h median: +10.9% on all 40 coins, +15.3% on the top 20 by market cap.

Coins 21⁠-⁠40: 46 of 60 profitable, median +8.6%. The worst results: HBAR 2h -22.3%, DASH 4h -15.6% and XLM 4h -15.1%.

Backtest, simulated, not live trading. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Every test

One row per coin and timeframe. The filters only narrow the view; nothing is left out of the page.

Timeframe
Coins

Showing 120 tests · 94 made money · 26 lost money

TierUsed to tune defaults?TFEquity (closed trades)
Top 20 by market cap (ranks 1-20, 20 coins)
BTCPublished chart1Top 20Yes4hSep 20195871%2.46+55.1%5.5%15%8.1
BTC1Top 20Yes2hSep 20196656%0.89-6.9%16.9%11%9.2
BTC1Top 20Yes1hSep 20194171%1.40+10.6%5.3%8%5.7
ETH2Top 20Yes4hNov 20196651%0.96-2.5%18.4%13%9.5
ETH2Top 20Yes2hNov 20197457%1.28+17.1%14.4%18%10.7
ETH2Top 20Yes1hNov 20196052%0.87-7.0%27.8%13%8.7
BNB3Top 20Yes4hFeb 20206564%1.56+32.5%15.8%17%9.7
BNB3Top 20Yes2hFeb 20207367%1.93+60.1%7.9%15%10.9
BNB3Top 20Yes1hFeb 20205564%1.96+42.0%12.0%11%8.2
XRP4Top 20Yes4hJan 20205569%1.53+19.1%6.4%13%8.1
XRP4Top 20Yes2hJan 20206668%1.43+20.2%11.6%11%9.7
XRP4Top 20Yes1hJan 20205778%2.34+43.0%5.9%10%8.4
SOL5Top 20Yes4hSep 20205567%2.18+52.1%6.4%16%9.0
SOL5Top 20Yes2hSep 20206273%2.75+94.4%8.0%12%10.1
SOL5Top 20Yes1hSep 20205968%1.94+47.9%14.6%10%9.6
TRX6Top 20Yes4hJan 20207066%1.32+17.1%9.2%14%10.3
TRX6Top 20Yes2hJan 20207060%1.17+11.6%22.1%13%10.3
TRX6Top 20Yes1hJan 20205758%1.17+8.7%13.3%12%8.4
ZEC7Top 20No4hFeb 20204758%1.46+21.4%13.4%9%7.0
ZEC7Top 20No2hFeb 20206660%1.21+12.0%14.8%11%9.8
ZEC7Top 20No1hFeb 20205256%0.96-1.9%14.1%8%7.7
DOGE8Top 20Yes4hJul 20205073%1.99+32.5%7.5%15%7.9
DOGE8Top 20Yes2hJul 20205360%1.57+23.0%17.6%14%8.4
DOGE8Top 20Yes1hJul 20204464%1.35+11.5%19.4%9%7.0
LINK9Top 20Yes4hJan 20205677%1.95+29.4%8.5%14%8.3
LINK9Top 20Yes2hJan 20208272%1.99+50.8%10.4%19%12.1
LINK9Top 20Yes1hJan 20207066%1.77+43.7%8.0%12%10.3
ADA10Top 20Yes4hJan 20205369%1.71+25.2%4.1%9%7.9
ADA10Top 20Yes2hJan 20206966%1.40+18.6%11.6%13%10.2
ADA10Top 20Yes1hJan 20206068%1.20+8.1%9.2%11%8.9
NEAR11Top 20No4hOct 20204358%1.13+4.9%11.2%9%7.1
NEAR11Top 20No2hOct 20205061%1.48+19.0%9.1%13%8.3
NEAR11Top 20No1hOct 20205162%1.40+15.2%10.7%10%8.5
XLM12Top 20No4hJan 20205258%0.61-15.1%24.4%12%7.7
XLM12Top 20No2hJan 20205663%1.09+3.9%9.9%11%8.3
XLM12Top 20No1hJan 20205163%2.02+57.9%16.1%7%7.5
BCH13Top 20Yes4hDec 20196658%0.97-1.5%17.2%14%9.6
BCH13Top 20Yes2hDec 20197267%1.34+18.4%14.2%12%10.5
BCH13Top 20Yes1hDec 20195765%1.16+7.4%7.4%12%8.3
LTC14Top 20Yes4hJan 20205462%0.93-2.8%13.1%15%7.9
LTC14Top 20Yes2hJan 20207763%1.14+8.6%22.6%14%11.3
LTC14Top 20Yes1hJan 20206964%1.56+36.4%16.7%10%10.1
UNI15Top 20No4hSep 20204462%1.33+10.9%10.9%11%7.2
UNI15Top 20No2hSep 20205367%1.15+5.6%6.3%12%8.7
UNI15Top 20No1hSep 20204667%1.87+30.8%6.0%9%7.5
AVAX16Top 20Yes4hSep 20204572%2.02+24.2%7.5%9%7.4
AVAX16Top 20Yes2hSep 20205861%1.20+9.9%12.1%9%9.5
AVAX16Top 20Yes1hSep 20204865%1.50+17.7%13.3%9%7.9
SUI17Top 20No4hMay 20232661%1.77+15.3%8.4%13%7.5
SUI17Top 20No2hMay 20232360%1.53+9.2%6.3%7%6.6
SUI17Top 20No1hMay 20232458%1.11+2.2%7.7%8%6.9
HBAR18Top 20No4hMar 20214947%0.75-11.0%21.9%10%8.7
HBAR18Top 20No2hMar 20215854%0.50-22.3%28.4%11%10.3
HBAR18Top 20No1hMar 20214356%0.78-7.6%18.3%7%7.7
TAO19Top 20No4hApr 20242157%1.01+0.14%10.0%7%8.3
TAO19Top 20No2hApr 20242763%1.82+19.2%10.3%9%10.6
TAO19Top 20No1hApr 20242364%1.66+11.6%7.5%10%9.0
QNT20Top 20No4hOct 20223566%1.28+7.0%7.6%15%8.7
QNT20Top 20No2hOct 20225055%0.77-9.8%14.1%18%12.4
QNT20Top 20No1hOct 20224558%0.95-2.0%13.8%16%11.2
Coins 21⁠-⁠40 (ranks 21-40, 20 coins)
SHIB2121⁠-⁠40No4hMay 20214072%1.74+17.4%4.8%10%7.3
SHIB2121⁠-⁠40No2hMay 20215162%1.34+13.6%15.8%12%9.3
SHIB2121⁠-⁠40No1hMay 20214666%1.77+27.8%7.8%10%8.4
ENA2221⁠-⁠40No4hApr 20241457%1.56+7.2%8.8%5%5.4
ENA2221⁠-⁠40No2hApr 20242055%0.56-8.0%11.2%7%7.8
ENA2221⁠-⁠40No1hApr 20241759%1.42+6.9%11.3%6%6.6
AAVE2321⁠-⁠40No4hOct 20204156%1.30+10.7%6.1%12%6.8
AAVE2321⁠-⁠40No2hOct 20205455%0.90-5.2%16.2%12%9.0
AAVE2321⁠-⁠40No1hOct 20205258%1.03+1.6%16.4%12%8.6
PEPE2421⁠-⁠40No4hMay 20232671%3.14+37.9%4.1%13%7.5
PEPE2421⁠-⁠40No2hMay 20233964%2.00+31.7%7.9%12%11.2
PEPE2421⁠-⁠40No1hMay 20233959%1.53+19.4%13.9%11%11.2
DOT2521⁠-⁠40Yes4hAug 20205372%2.10+43.2%9.7%13%8.6
DOT2521⁠-⁠40Yes2hAug 20206471%1.94+56.6%14.4%14%10.4
DOT2521⁠-⁠40Yes1hAug 20204767%1.70+26.4%6.7%12%7.6
WLD2621⁠-⁠40No4hJul 20232075%1.23+2.4%4.0%7%6.1
WLD2621⁠-⁠40No2hJul 20232667%1.98+17.4%5.5%9%8.0
WLD2621⁠-⁠40No1hJul 20232560%1.34+7.1%9.3%7%7.7
ICP2721⁠-⁠40No4hSep 20223457%1.02+0.55%9.4%14%8.3
ICP2721⁠-⁠40No2hSep 20224659%1.10+3.5%12.2%18%11.3
ICP2721⁠-⁠40No1hSep 20224270%1.77+22.9%6.5%17%10.3
ETC2821⁠-⁠40No4hJan 20205365%1.45+19.1%8.6%17%7.8
ETC2821⁠-⁠40No2hJan 20206861%1.03+1.7%9.9%14%10.0
ETC2821⁠-⁠40No1hJan 20205456%0.79-9.8%15.8%10%8.0
ARB2921⁠-⁠40No4hMar 20233756%1.11+3.5%8.6%14%10.3
ARB2921⁠-⁠40No2hMar 20234062%0.97-1.1%7.8%11%11.1
ARB2921⁠-⁠40No1hMar 20233862%0.89-3.3%8.6%11%10.6
POL3021⁠-⁠40No4hSep 20242151%1.17+3.5%10.0%10%9.9
POL3021⁠-⁠40No2hSep 20242367%1.58+10.4%10.1%13%10.8
POL3021⁠-⁠40No1hSep 20241759%1.12+1.9%7.2%9%8.0
ALGO3121⁠-⁠40No4hJun 20204468%1.73+23.1%9.2%12%6.9
ALGO3121⁠-⁠40No2hJun 20205672%1.39+12.9%9.2%14%8.8
ALGO3121⁠-⁠40No1hJun 20205275%2.27+47.8%7.3%8%8.2
JUP3221⁠-⁠40No4hJan 20241856%0.54-7.3%8.0%6%6.6
JUP3221⁠-⁠40No2hJan 20242261%0.93-1.2%6.7%8%8.0
JUP3221⁠-⁠40No1hJan 20242365%0.96-0.67%4.9%10%8.4
RENDER3321⁠-⁠40No4hJul 20242070%1.96+12.8%5.6%14%8.9
RENDER3321⁠-⁠40No2hJul 20242858%1.33+8.6%4.6%18%12.4
RENDER3321⁠-⁠40No1hJul 20242259%1.27+5.0%6.0%11%9.8
ATOM3421⁠-⁠40No4hFeb 20205564%0.88-4.8%19.4%13%8.2
ATOM3421⁠-⁠40No2hFeb 20206170%1.54+21.5%6.7%10%9.1
ATOM3421⁠-⁠40No1hFeb 20206070%1.76+31.1%9.2%10%8.9
INJ3521⁠-⁠40No4hAug 20222880%3.26+31.5%4.0%11%6.7
INJ3521⁠-⁠40No2hAug 20224159%0.88-4.3%7.6%10%9.8
INJ3521⁠-⁠40No1hAug 20224070%1.42+11.1%5.8%8%9.5
FIL3621⁠-⁠40No4hOct 20204064%2.23+42.4%5.6%14%6.6
FIL3621⁠-⁠40No2hOct 20205165%1.65+23.7%11.6%12%8.5
FIL3621⁠-⁠40No1hOct 20205167%1.77+29.7%7.0%11%8.5
DASH3721⁠-⁠40No4hFeb 20205146%0.69-15.6%18.6%12%7.6
DASH3721⁠-⁠40No2hFeb 20207557%0.88-7.8%10.3%11%11.1
DASH3721⁠-⁠40No1hFeb 20205561%1.21+10.2%7.8%10%8.2
CAKE3821⁠-⁠40No4hNov 20231938%0.46-11.8%12.5%8%6.4
CAKE3821⁠-⁠40No2hNov 20233348%0.67-10.6%17.0%10%11.1
CAKE3821⁠-⁠40No1hNov 20233058%1.33+8.0%8.7%10%10.0
ZRO3921⁠-⁠40No4hJun 20242173%1.85+11.4%5.7%6%8.9
ZRO3921⁠-⁠40No2hJun 20242970%1.51+9.8%6.6%13%12.3
ZRO3921⁠-⁠40No1hJun 20242868%1.19+3.5%7.0%12%11.9
ETHFI4021⁠-⁠40No4hMar 20242057%1.45+7.5%6.4%8%7.7
ETHFI4021⁠-⁠40No2hMar 20241755%1.64+9.7%8.4%9%6.5
ETHFI4021⁠-⁠40No1hMar 20241553%1.81+12.3%8.5%5%5.7
  • Drawdown counts closed trades only; TradingView also counts open trades, so its figure is slightly higher (BTC 4h: 6.03% vs 5.5%).
  • Win % counts the rows of TradingView’s trade list, where a trade that closes in two parts shows twice; Positions counts whole trades.
  • Equity lines show the closed-trade balance; the dotted line is the starting balance.

Patterns in the same data

The same tests at a glance. Tap or hover a cell or a dot for its figures; the table above has them all.

94 of 120 tests made money48 of 60 tests made money (top 20 by market cap)46 of 60 tests made money (coins 21⁠-⁠40)Net profit per coin and timeframeCoins sorted best first, by their average across 1h, 2h and 4h or by the timeframe picked above.
Coin4h2h1h
SOL+52%+94%+48%
BNB+33%+60%+42%
DOT+43%+57%+26%
LINK+29%+51%+44%
FIL+42%+24%+30%
PEPE+38%+32%+19%
ALGO+23%+13%+48%
XRP+19%+20%+43%
DOGE+32%+23%+11%
SHIB+17%+14%+28%
BTC+55%-7%+11%
ADA+25%+19%+8%
AVAX+24%+10%+18%
ATOM-5%+21%+31%
UNI+11%+6%+31%
XLM-15%+4%+58%
LTC-3%+9%+36%
NEAR+5%+19%+15%
INJ+32%-4%+11%
TRX+17%+12%+9%
ZEC+21%+12%-2%
TAO0%+19%+12%
ETHFI+7%+10%+12%
ICP+1%+4%+23%
WLD+2%+17%+7%
SUI+15%+9%+2%
RENDER+13%+9%+5%
ZRO+11%+10%+4%
BCH-1%+18%+7%
POL+4%+10%+2%
ETC+19%+2%-10%
ETH-2%+17%-7%
AAVE+11%-5%+2%
ENA+7%-8%+7%
ARB+3%-1%-3%
QNT+7%-10%-2%
JUP-7%-1%-1%
DASH-16%-8%+10%
CAKE-12%-11%+8%
HBAR-11%-22%-8%
Net profit against max drawdown (closed trades)One dot per test. Up is more profit, right is a deeper fall.

Every coin of a group, traded together

What one account would have seen running the strategy on a whole group of coins at once, each trade at its own fixed risk, from Oct 2020 to 27 Oct 2026 (73 months). The figures are in R.One account trading every coin of a group at once, each trade at fixed risk, Oct 2020 to 27 Oct 2026. Figures in R.

Simple sum, not compounded; positions overlap. 1R = the amount risked on one trade (2% of the balance by default).

All 40 coins · 4h

Defaults
Trades a month
21.7
Average a year
+41.1R
Worst drawdown
26.9R
Losing months
24 of 73

No losing calendar year in this window.

Top 20 by market cap · 4h

Defaults
Trades a month
12.9
Average a year
+23.4R
Worst drawdown
19.1R
Losing months
24 of 73

No losing calendar year in this window.

Coins 21⁠-⁠40 · 4h

Defaults
Trades a month
8.8
Average a year
+17.6R
Worst drawdown
19.7R
Losing months
23 of 73

No losing calendar year in this window.

All 40 coins · 2h

Defaults
Trades a month
26.8
Average a year
+41.4R
Worst drawdown
28.4R
Losing months
25 of 73

Losing year: 2023 (-13.1R).

Top 20 by market cap · 2h

Defaults
Trades a month
15.5
Average a year
+27.1R
Worst drawdown
26.0R
Losing months
29 of 73

Losing year: 2023 (-5.3R).

Coins 21⁠-⁠40 · 2h

Defaults
Trades a month
11.3
Average a year
+14.3R
Worst drawdown
22.0R
Losing months
31 of 73

Losing years: 2023 (-7.8R) and 2026 (-9.4R).

All 40 coins · 1h

Defaults
Trades a month
23.2
Average a year
+46.0R
Worst drawdown
28.7R
Losing months
20 of 73

Losing year: 2023 (-11.5R).

Top 20 by market cap · 1h

Defaults
Trades a month
13.1
Average a year
+26.1R
Worst drawdown
29.5R
Losing months
29 of 73

Losing year: 2023 (-17.0R).

Coins 21⁠-⁠40 · 1h

Defaults
Trades a month
10.1
Average a year
+19.9R
Worst drawdown
11.0R
Losing months
28 of 73

No losing calendar year in this window.

2020 covers its last 3 months only, and 2026 runs to 27 Oct 2026. A coin joins its group from its listing. Backtest, simulated, not live trading.

What this does not show

The limits of these numbers, stated next to them.

  • Backtests, not live trading

    Every figure on this page is simulated on past prices. Past results do not guarantee future results, and there is no live track record behind them yet.

  • Funding fees are not included

    Costs: 0.05% commission per side and slippage included; funding fees not included. On perpetual futures, funding is paid or received while a position is open; it is left out here.

  • Drawdown counts closed trades

    Drawdown counts closed trades only; TradingView also counts open trades, so its figure is slightly higher (BTC 4h: 6.03% vs 5.5%).

  • Some coins helped tune the defaults

    13 of the 40 coins (BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, TRX, DOGE, LINK, ADA, BCH, LTC, AVAX and DOT) were used to tune the default settings; the "Used to tune defaults?" column shows which. On the other 27: 60 of 81 tests profitable, median +7.5%. A few of them served as hold-out checks in the research, to accept or reject a change, never to tune it.

  • The coins were fixed before any result

    The test runs on the first 40 coins by CoinGecko market cap on 28 Oct 2026 that are not stablecoins, wrapped tokens or real-world assets, and that trade on Binance both as spot (against USDT) and as a USDT-margined perpetual, each listed before 28 Oct 2024. That list was fixed before any result was seen, every coin ran the same settings, and every result is shown.

  • One setting for every coin

    No coin was tuned on its own: every coin ran the published defaults, and only the defaults are shown. Other settings, timeframes, markets or periods can give materially different results.

  • Only coins that still trade

    The list is today's market: every coin still trades, and coins that collapsed or were delisted before 28 Oct 2026 are not in the test.

  • Younger coins, shorter histories

    Each coin starts at its futures listing, so the 8 with less than three years of data have far fewer trades: CAKE from Nov 2023, JUP from Jan 2024, ETHFI from Mar 2024, TAO from Apr 2024, ENA from Apr 2024, ZRO from Jun 2024, RENDER from Jul 2024 and POL from Sep 2024.

  • The simulator is close to TradingView, not identical

    Navixa's research simulator reproduces the published chart: BTC 4h +55.1% and 115 report rows here, against +56.05% and 115 rows on TradingView. The tables end on 27 Oct 2026, the published report on 24 Oct 2026. The published BTC 4h chart is the best 4h result of our 40 coins (simulated). The 4h median: +10.9% on all 40 coins, +15.3% on the top 20 by market cap. The tables and charts on this page come from the simulator.

  • The group view is a simple sum

    Results in R are added across coins, not compounded, and positions overlap. A real account would need margin for every open position at once.

Download the full table

Every row above as CSV: 120 tests, with the source, settings and costs in the first lines.

Download CSVHow the backtests were run

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