Market Analysis

Is the Stock Market Open on Presidents Day? Bitcoin & ETF Impact

  • Feb 16, 2026
  • 5 min read
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The short answer is no—the U.S. stock market is closed on Presidents Day. However, for cryptocurrency traders and Bitcoin ETF investors, the story doesn't end there. While Wall Street takes a pause, the global crypto market continues to operate 24/7, creating a unique trading environment known as a "liquidity gap."

For the first time in history, institutional exposure to Bitcoin is massive, yet the primary vehicles for that exposure—Spot Bitcoin ETFs—are tethered to traditional exchange hours. This disconnect creates potential volatility and pricing disparities that every trader needs to understand before the long weekend begins.

Is the Stock Market Open on Presidents Day 2026?

All major U.S. stock exchanges, including the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq, will be closed on Monday, February 16, 2026, in observance of Washington's Birthday, commonly known as Presidents Day. This follows the standard holiday schedule set by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA).

In addition to equity markets:

U.S. Bond Markets: Closed.

Banks: Most federal reserve banks and physical branches are closed.

Crypto Exchanges: Open. Platforms like Coinbase, Binance, and Kraken operate 24/7/365 without interruption.

This discrepancy creates a specific risk profile for traders holding Bitcoin ETFs or related equities like MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Coinbase (COIN), as they will be unable to react to market moves until Tuesday morning.

The "ETF Gap": Why Holidays Matter for Crypto

Before the approval of Spot Bitcoin ETFs, crypto volatility on holidays was largely a retail phenomenon. Now, with billions of dollars locked in institutional funds, a U.S. stock market holiday effectively freezes a massive portion of the buy-side liquidity.

ETFs trade based on their Net Asset Value (NAV). On a normal day, Authorized Participants (APs) arbitrage any difference between the ETF price and the spot Bitcoin price to keep them aligned. On Presidents Day, this mechanism is turned off.

If Bitcoin rallies 5% on Monday, Feb 16, while the stock market is closed, ETF investors cannot capture those gains immediately. When the market reopens on Tuesday at 9:30 AM EST, the ETFs will likely "gap up" to match the new price of Bitcoin. Conversely, if Bitcoin crashes, ETF holders are forced to watch their portfolio value drop without the ability to sell until Tuesday.

Trading Hours Comparison: Presidents Day 2026

Understanding which markets are active can help you hedge your risk. The table below outlines the status of major financial instruments for the holiday.

Asset ClassStatus (Presidents Day)Trading Hours (EST)Can You Trade?
US Stocks (Equities)CLOSEDNoneNo
Bitcoin ETFs (IBIT, FBTC)CLOSEDNoneNo
Spot Crypto (BTC, ETH)OPEN24/7Yes
CME Bitcoin FuturesModified HoursHalts usually ~1:00 PMLimited
Forex MarketsOPENRegular HoursYes

How Volatility Behaves When Wall Street Sleeps

Historical data suggests that U.S. market holidays often result in thinner order books for Bitcoin, leading to what traders call "chop" or exacerbated volatility. Without the deep liquidity provided by institutional desks and ETF flows, smaller buy or sell orders can move the spot price more aggressively.

The "Weekend Effect"

In crypto trading, weekends and holidays have notoriously seen lower volumes. Research from financial analysts indicates that volatility often spikes during these low-volume periods because it takes less capital to manipulate price action. Traders should be cautious of "fakeouts"—price movements that look significant but lack the volume to be sustained once institutional traders return on Tuesday.

Actionable Strategies for Presidents Day Trading

If you plan to trade during the holiday, consider these adjustments to your strategy:

1. Watch the CME Futures Close

CME Bitcoin futures often act as a magnet for price. Note the closing price on Friday afternoon. If Spot Bitcoin deviates significantly from this price over the long weekend, there is a high probability of a mean reversion or "gap fill" when futures trading resumes.

2. Avoid High Leverage

With liquidity thinner than usual, slippage can be higher. Stop-loss orders might be executed at unfavorable prices if a sudden volatility wick occurs. Reducing leverage protects your capital from low-liquidity spikes.

3. Use Spot Markets for Flexibility

Since ETFs are frozen, holding actual Bitcoin (spot) on a crypto exchange gives you the ability to sell or buy instantly if news breaks. ETF investors are effectively "locked in" until Tuesday.

Conclusion

So, is the stock market open on Presidents Day? No. But the crypto markets never sleep. For the prepared trader, this holiday offers a chance to capitalize on inefficiency and volatility. For the passive ETF investor, it serves as a reminder of the limitations of traditional finance rails compared to the 24/7 nature of blockchain assets.

Stay updated on market hours and holiday schedules by checking official sources like the NYSE holiday calendar to ensure you're never caught off guard.

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